WP2 Exposure & Consequence
Work package led by Istituto Zooprofilattico Sperimentale del Piemonte
The Exposure and Consequence Assessment Work package will assess the potential for exposure of domestic livestock and/or humans by identification of the key risk pathways between points of EU incursion and across EU MS borders using existing datasets:
1. Describe the biological mechanisms able to induce the animal or human exposure for
each class of agent identified in (WP1 Release Assessment);
2. Estimate the probability that the exposure will occur (for example livestock density by species, human population, major transport routes with border inspection posts and river networks). The spread of the diseases will be assessed using methods appropriate for data available and will include spatial-time techniques as well as network modelling. Identify novel routes of spread and any data gaps;
3. Consequences assessment: to evaluate the existing relationship between exposure and hazard and the probability that the consequences will happen; to discriminate between direct (biological, production losses, public health, environmental) and indirect consequences (economic) of the exposure. The method of estimation will be based on data availability.
Report on factors and pathways for consequence assessment available in PDF:
4. For vector borne diseases, vector host maps together with climate/environmental
descriptors and the capture of the environmental niche of insect vectors, will be used to
understand the key factors contributing to the spread of selected vector borne diseases and model movement between MSs (WP3 Vector Competence)
SPARE publication
EXPOSURE ASSESSMENT IN THE CONTEXT OF THE SPARE PROJECT:
A MODEL TO SPATIALLY ASSESS EXOTIC DISEASES INCURSIONS
AND SPREAD THROUGHOUT EUROPE" appeared on Épidémiologie et santé animale, 2017, 71, 139-148.
SPARE Poster presented at AEEMA March 2017
Exposure Assessment in the context of the SPARE project: A model to
spatially assess exotic diseases incursions and spread throughout Europe
